There ’s something missing on our satellite , but we do n’t know what it is . Like trees that fall in the secretiveness of an empty timber , entire mintage are disappear with no one to witness or record their existence – or their dying . It ’s a phenomenon know as " dark extinction " , and it sternly undermines our ability to catalog the worldly concern ’s biodiversity or to fully understand our own impact on the vane of life .

What Is Dark Extinction?

The term " dark quenching " refers to the loss of species that we do n’t even know exist . In other words , it applies to life forms that becomeextinctbefore they have been bring out or scientifically described , have in mind they have not received a taxonomic classification .

Typically , the label is reserve for those plant life and creature that have exited the building as a direct result of human being - induced habitat change , which means undiscovered dinosaur do n’t count as dark experimental extinction . However , these unsung anthropogenic extinction are by no means specify to the New geological era and extend all the way back to prehistoric times when our ancestor first colonized the world ’s continents and hunted certain megafauna to oblivion .

Many of these long - lose giants are well represent in the fogey platter , yet experts believe there are credibly a comely fewmegafaunal extinctionsfrom the retiring 10,000 year that we do n’t even recognize about .

We know what we ’ve lost and key , but the big terra incognita is what disappear before verbal description , and in some cases vanish before the science of taxonomy even started .

A major wave of human - ride extinction then set about to ripple across the planet from about the 14th century , when onward motion in European maritime engineering enabled Westerners to colonise distant oceanic island , fetch with them rats , bozo , and other non - aboriginal mammals that dead obliterate the local wildlife . However , because this predated the so - called taxonomic catamenia ( which began at the start of the nineteenth century ) , many of the coinage that perished during this era were not scientifically discover or lumber in any kind of catalog , meaning we have no estimate exactly how manycreatures were extinguished .

Even since the start of the taxonomical period itself , an unknown number of specie have gotten off the dancefloor before anyone had a fortune to log their existence . Many of these life forms but disappeared without a trace ; others leave fossils that have either been pick up after they became extinct or are yet to be unearth ; others still exist only in museums or collections , waiting for a taxonomer to posthumously describe them .

“ We know what we ’ve lost and discover , but the grownup stranger is what disappeared before description , and in some cases disappeared before the science of taxonomy even start , ” Dr Alexander Lees from Manchester Metropolitan University tells IFLScience . “ The post - Linnaean world – in which we ’ve been distinguish specie – has really only been proceed onward for a few hundred . So anything prior to that age of Linnean discovery could be completely unknown , ” he adds .

To satiate in all the blanks , we ’d postulate to find the cadaver of every species that has been driven to experimental extinction , yet it goes without say that this is pretty improbable . “ For many species , we have resort to fossils and sub fogy . So species which fossilise well may have a skillful record of historical extinguishing – but not all species , ” says Lees . “ snort , for instance , do n’t fossilize as well as mammals , and most invertebrate are very rare in the fossil record . ”

In other Christian Bible , we do n’t really know how many dark extinctions have occurred throughout human chronicle , although scientists have made a few guess – and the figures are pretty lurid .

How Many Species Have Become Extinct?

The prescribed reckoning of extinct plant and animals is kept by the International Union for Conservation of Nature ( IUCN ) Red List , and currently stand at just909 specie . However , by the brass ’s own admission , this trope is plausibly a “ significant underestimate ” as it does n’t account for unknown quenching or undiscovered mintage .

investigator have therefore made several attempt at developing statistical model to calculate the number of benighted extinctions that have accompanied these affirm excision . For instance , the results of one study indicated that around1,430 species of birdmay have been killed off by human activities , while another suggest that up to60 percentage of all extinctionswithin sealed taxonomic mathematical group may be undiscovered mintage .

Yet another paper concluded that we may have lost up to260,000 invertebrate speciesover the past 500 years , highlight the inadequacy of the Red List when it issue forth to logging morose defunctness . However , all of these estimate are pretty rough and somewhat speculative , which mean we do n’t really have any whole figures to make up all the organisms that have vanished from the face of the Earth .

And while there ’s a originate consistency of theoretical work on saturnine extinctions , every now and then scientists find actual physical evidence for the phenomenon – most of which only serves to show us how wrong our numerical estimates have been . For example , in 2013 , a linage ofextinct nation snailswas discover in Gallic Polynesia , instantly increase the entire number of confirmed mollusc extinction by around 2 percent . Given that most dreary extinction estimation are based on extrapolation of known extinctions , findings like this can massively act upon the statistical modeling .

To complicate the matter further , Lees explains that each newly confirmed historical extinction opens up endless possibilities for the going of “ commensal species ” that may have been associated with these defunct creatures . For instance , while ancient megafauna may be easy to spot in the fossil record , Lees says that when it comes to “ the   parasites which live in these species and all the thing which scrounge their droppings , we have a very poor idea of what might have been misplace . ”

“ The potential difference then for lots of continental extinctions during this loss of megafauna is also Brobdingnagian , and we really do n’t have a safe estimation about the nature of those losses , ” he laments .

How Can Dark Extinctions Be Prevented?

Extinction is an inevitable part of the natural survival of the fittest process , and it ’s thought that even without the help of humankind , the world would lose about 0.1 organism per million species per twelvemonth . This is known as the ground extinction charge per unit .

However , current estimates betoken that the world is void M of times faster than this scope charge per unit , leading to the prompting that we may even be in the midst of thesixth good deal extinctionin our planet ’s history . It ’s therefore sorely obvious that we ’re give out to protect Earth ’s biodiversity , and monolithic investiture in habitat preservation is now take if we want to have any hope of collar the slide .

Nowhere is this more urgent than inBrazil ’s Atlantic Forest , which has the highest concentration of threatened vertebrates in the Americas and also happen to be the focus of Lees ’ research . Having once covered 1.2 million square klick ( 463,000 square miles ) , the timber has now been reduce to “ fleck that are often too pocket-size to support executable populations of metal money , ” he says .

“ You might have one pair survive [ in a darn ] , but there ’s no communion of gene between forest patches and you only require one someone to go away and that ’s your species choke , ” explains Lees . As a issue , he sound out that conservationists have had to merely “ keep an eye on Bronx cheer disappearing from all those patches . ”

The problem is now so extreme that Lees believes many of the region ’s threaten species are unlikely to survive without intent breeding platform . Even those efforts , however , will be “ irrelevant if there ’s not a contingency design to restore those [ timber ] patch up , to restore connectivity between mend , and to increase the sizing of those patch . ”

[ U]nless you describe a new dinosaur , poppycock does n’t get to [ daybook ] Nature or Science . It depart into parochial publications …

Of of course , ex situ breeding programs are designed to rescue known specie from obliteration and therefore do n’t directly avail to ease the dark extinction crisis . By restoring habitats , however , we could unknowingly bring huge numbers of as - yet - undiscovered species back from the verge , in improver to saving those we are in reality essay to save .

Then again , dismal extinction would lay off to survive as a concept if we had a more complete stocktaking of the cosmos ’s dweller . We may not block many of these species from disappearing , but if only we could describe them all then at least we ’d get laid what we ’re losing .

This , too , is likely to be a mammoth task . It ’s remember there are around 8.7 million animal species on Earth , and in more than two centuries of taxonomic categorisation , we ’ve only draw about 1.2 million of these . According to some calculations , 86 percent of all terrestrial creatures and 91 percentage of those be in the ocean have stillnot been officially discovered .

Clearly , then , we need to significantly ramp up our systematic production . regrettably , however , things seem to be going rearward , as the skill of taxonomy is findingfewer and few devotees .

“ There ’s this charge to go and catalogue Earth ’s biodiversity before it rifle extinct , but that operation is really slowed up because taxonomy is massively underfunded these days , ” pronounce Lees . Part of the problem , he explicate , is that “ unless you describe a newfangled dinosaur , hooey does n’t get to [ journals ] Nature or Science . It goes into parochial publications , and it ’s a huge amount of study . ”

In other words , the wage - off does n’t justify the clock time and effort of line unspectacular new species that few hoi polloi really wish about . To prevent taxonomy from break out itself , then , increased investment is badly require .

It goes without enjoin , though , that even an regular army of well - funded taxonomists would go to catalogue every undivided coinage on the planet . Yet the more organisms we can classify , the less extinctions will fall into the " non-white " family ,

“ You will never ever describe everything , ” says Lees . “ But hopefully we can get well above 10 per centum . That should be the goal . ”